Vegas Golden Knights: The pros and cons of a June Draft

Kaedan Korczak reacts after being selected 41st overall by the Vegas Golden Knights during the 2019 NHL Draft. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)
Kaedan Korczak reacts after being selected 41st overall by the Vegas Golden Knights during the 2019 NHL Draft. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)
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Kaedan Korczak reacts after being selected 41st overall by the Vegas Golden Knights during the 2019 NHL Draft at Rogers Arena on June 22, 2019.
Kaedan Korczak reacts after being selected 41st overall by the Vegas Golden Knights during the 2019 NHL Draft at Rogers Arena on June 22, 2019. /

All reports suggest that the Vegas Golden Knights may have to settle for the 2020 NHL Entry Draft to still take place in June, and there are both positives and negatives to consider.

The sports world is still very much in limbo due to COVID-19 and, as a result, the Vegas Golden Knights may have to adjust to a new normal for a while.

Part of that new normal may involve taking part in the 2020 NHL Entry Draft while the fate of the 2019-20 regular season is still in limbo.

Because, while there is a hope that hockey can return in July and be played throughout the summer with a 2019-20 Stanley Cup Champion eventually being crowned, all signs point to the NHL being keen on still staging the Draft next month.

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According to Pierre LeBrun of The Athletic, it is now likely that NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman will get his wish by holding the 2020 NHL Entry Draft in June, with no vote required from the Board of Governors who are due to hold a conference call today.

There are a bevy of questions that will need answering if the Draft does indeed take place before the conclusion of the 2019-20 season, including the land mine that is conditional picks.

Now, as far as the Golden Knights are concerned, there are both pros and cons to having the Draft in June during the current climate and we decided to go through a few…

Pro 1 – Higher Picks

According to CapFriendly, the Vegas Golden Knights are projected to have the No. 24 overall pick in the First Round of the 2020 NHL Entry Draft.

Of course, that could change but, going on the assumption that the Draft will now take place before the NHL figures out how to conclude the 2019-20 regular season, expect the Golden Knights to pick somewhere in that region.

In that case, having the Draft before the season finishes will result in the Knights emerging as one of the big winners.

Why?

Well, if the Draft was shoehorned in-between the conclusion of the 2019-20 season and the start of the 2020-21, then it is feasible to predict that the Golden Knights could be picking as low as 31st if they enjoyed a deep postseason run.

So, still having the Draft in June, while far from ideal, would at least give Vegas the chance to make a run at a high-end prospect in the First Round.

After all, and as we’ve started to explore, this year’s Draft is rich in offensive talent and there could also be some defensemen with huge upside lurking late in the First Round too.

As a result, having the 2020 NHL Entry Draft in June before the 2019-20 regular season resumes play will be most beneficial to the Golden Knights in that they will get the opportunity to add an absolute stud to their roster even if they do go on to win the Stanley Cup.

Hendrix Lapierre of the Chicoutimi Sagueneens skates prior to his QMJHL hockey game at the Videotron Center on October 11, 2019 in Quebec City.
Hendrix Lapierre of the Chicoutimi Sagueneens skates prior to his QMJHL hockey game at the Videotron Center on October 11, 2019 in Quebec City. /

Con 1 – Lack of Knowledge

While the Golden Knights’ army of scouts should have already done their homework, a slew of events crucial to the Draft were cancelled because of COVID-19.

From the CHL Playoffs to the NCAA Tournament and, most importantly, the IIHF Under 18 World Championship, scouts have been robbed of the opportunity to watch a number of prospects in high-pressure environments one final time.

Losing the IIHF Under 18 World Championship in particular was a body-blow given that the tournament gives a plethora of European prospects the chance to attract the attention of NHL General Managers and Front Offices.

As a result, the later rounds of the 2020 NHL Entry Draft will become more of a crapshoot and, ultimately, those scouting teams who have been on top of their game throughout the year will prosper.

Of course, we won’t know which teams would have really done their homework until a few years from now at least, but it does make sense that a lot of franchises will want to take less risks once we get deep into the Draft.

For the Golden Knights, who currently have two Third-Round picks in addition to selections in the Fifth and Sixth Rounds, they will need to rely on their scouting team more than ever to ensure that they make the right pick in the later rounds.

European prospects may be more of a wild card due to the lack of knowledge this year but, if the Golden Knights have put the work in throughout the year, then that shouldn’t be too much of a problem.

Payton Krebs reacts after being selected seventeenth overall by the Vegas Golden Knights during the first round of the 2019 NHL Draft at Rogers Arena on June 21, 2019.
Payton Krebs reacts after being selected seventeenth overall by the Vegas Golden Knights during the first round of the 2019 NHL Draft at Rogers Arena on June 21, 2019. /

Pro 2 – Spotlight

With no games being played currently, you can’t blame the NHL for wanting to do anything that keeps the league and the sport relevant.

That is a hard enough task even when games are being played, so it is understandable that they would want to still stage their flagship event in June in order to attract some eyes to this great game of ours.

With no other sports going on and the NFL having already successfully conducted their 2020 Virtual Draft, there is a chance that non-hockey fans may tune in just to squeeze in their sports fix.

Any new eyes would be fantastic for the NHL and, as such, I can see why they would want to still hold the 2020 NHL Entry Draft next month.

And, for Golden Knights fans, it also helps to fill a void left by games by giving everyone the chance to sink their teeth into what the franchise might do when it comes to replenishing their farm system.

On a selfish note too, it would also give those who cover the Knights and the NHL the chance to actually write about something meaningful, rather than speculating about what may or may not happen or going over old games and past events.

Kelly McCrimmon and George McPhee of the Vegas Golden Knights attend the 2019 NHL Draft at the Rogers Arena on June 22, 2019.
Kelly McCrimmon and George McPhee of the Vegas Golden Knights attend the 2019 NHL Draft at the Rogers Arena on June 22, 2019. /

Con 2 – Taking the fun out of trades

One of the logistical nightmares the NHL will have to deal with if the 2020 Draft does take place before the 2019-20 regular season is resumed is the fact that trades between teams would almost be impossible to conduct.

Let’s use the Golden Knights as an example straight out of the gates.

Currently projected to have the No. 24 overall pick in the First Round, and with only two selections in the last four rounds combined, the Knights could look to trade up in the First Round in order to draft a real blue chip talent.

However, in order to do so, Vegas would likely have to throw in a player or a prospect as a sweetener.

But, given that the hope is the 2019-20 regular season will resume after the Draft, the Golden Knights won’t be able to afford to part with a player on their roster.

The same logic applies to if the Knights had their eye on a certain player on another team and wanted to make a trade during the Draft.

That won’t be able to happen.

As such, one of the most exciting and key aspects of the Draft will be taken away and the Golden Knights may be hindered in how they exactly approach the 2020 NHL Entry Draft.

Payton Krebs reacts after being selected seventeenth overall by the Vegas Golden Knights during the first round of the 2019 NHL Draft at Rogers Arena on June 21, 2019.
Payton Krebs reacts after being selected seventeenth overall by the Vegas Golden Knights during the first round of the 2019 NHL Draft at Rogers Arena on June 21, 2019. /

Pro 3 – No Conditional

One of the biggest drawbacks for hosting the 2020 NHL Entry Draft before the fate of the 2019-20 season is known is all the conditional picks that will be up in the air.

There will be 15 trades that will need the completion of the postseason, and it will be fascinating to see how the NHL swim in those murky waters.

The good news for the Golden Knights is that they don’t have any conditional picks this year to worry about.

As a result, the Knights won’t have to fret about any added complications during what will be a very complex Draft due to the current climate we now live in.

The only worry the Golden Knights will have is where they pick in the First Round, which could be decided by points percentage if the Draft does indeed take place before the conclusion of 2019-20.

Paul Stastny of the Vegas Golden Knights takes a break during a stop in play in the second period of a game against the Los Angeles Kings at T-Mobile Arena on March 1, 2020.
Paul Stastny of the Vegas Golden Knights takes a break during a stop in play in the second period of a game against the Los Angeles Kings at T-Mobile Arena on March 1, 2020. /

Con 3 – Team Building

No matter what shape hockey comes back in, the Vegas Golden Knights will be a postseason team and they will get the chance to battle for the Stanley Cup.

In normal circumstances, the Knights would use the Draft as way to fill any holes on the roster while replenishing the farm system.

However, if the 2020 NHL Entry Draft takes place in June, then that changes the landscape quite a bit for the Golden Knights.

For instance, and as mentioned in the previous slide, it will be difficult if not impossible to use the Draft as a means to improve the roster now without knowing the fate of the 2019-20 season.

It could be that the Golden Knights go on and win the Stanley Cup and, as such, roster tinkering won’t be a huge concern.

But, if they crash out early again, then General Manager Kelly McCrimmon may feel the need to make an aggressive trade using the franchise’s First Round Draft Pick.

You won’t be able to do that in a June Draft this year given that teams won’t be willing to give up players in a trade with hockey still to be played and no indication of what might happen during the summer months.

Another caveat at play here is the fact that the salary cap won’t be determined for 2020-21 heading into the Draft.

While likely to be frozen at $81.5 million, teams can’t operate on a maybe and, as a result, that could also hinder the Golden Knights.

For example, Vegas could in theory look to free up some cap space by shopping center Paul Stastny and his $6,500,000 cap hit.

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However, the Golden Knights would need Stastny for down the stretch and during the postseason so dealing the forward at the Draft wouldn’t be an option, while his value may have decreased by the time the actual off-season rolls round.

All in all, if the 2020 NHL Entry Draft does take place in June before hockey returns, then it will be interesting to see how it all shakes out for the Vegas Golden Knights and the impact it may have.

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